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Myrtle Beach Classic Preview and Best Bets

Myrtle Beach Classic Preview and Best Bets

Matti Schmid can use course experience in the Myrtle Beach Classic according to Ben Coley, who has five selections.

Golf Betting Tips: Myrtle Beach Classic

2pts new Daniel Berger at 28/1 (bet365 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8)

1.5 points ew Matti Schmid at 50/1 (Coral, Ladbrokes 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)

1.5 points ew Jacob Bridgeman at 50/1 (Betfred 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8)

1pt new Dylan Wu at 66/1 (BoyleSports 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8)

1pt ew Adrien Dumont de Chassart at 100/1 (Betfred 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8)

Sky Bet odds | Paddy power | Betfair Sportsbook

Dunes Golf and Beach Club will host the first-ever Myrtle Beach Classic, giving the PGA Tour’s big unsigned a welcome opportunity to strike while the world’s best players are elsewhere.

This course, designed by Robert Trent Jones and renovated several times by his son Rees, looks fairly typical of the area: tree-lined in places and correspondingly narrow, but with some holes running along the coast and exposed to the sea ​​breeze. .

If that sounds like another South Carolina course, Harbor Town, it should, and while Dunes seems longer and less stifling, it seems like it’s a little more about precision than power. The landing spots are quite small and, especially along ‘Alligator Alley’ at the start of the back nine, stubbornness will be punished by the water being in play almost the entire time.

Two of the par-fives are reachable, the other is a sort of reverse model of the sixth at Bay Hill, but a little longer, but we have to accept that there is some guesswork no matter how we dress things up. Some Champions Tour events from the 1990s and the 1962 US Women’s Open don’t really help matters, other than suggesting we shouldn’t expect a shootout.

However, some potentially more educational amateur tournaments have been held here, and MATTI SCHMID gained valuable course experience in one of them.

The German was already deep in the field four years ago, but it is still a rare treat for him to return to a course he has seen before. It could help quite a bit as he was competing at this level for the first time on another course he knew, so at 50/1 or thereabouts, he’s really interesting.

Schmid was one of the quiet improvers of the spring and his results in opposite events, 10th in Puerto Rico and 11th in the Dominican Republic, show us how dangerously he can now drop down the class again.

Last week’s narrow missed cut is of little consequence and while the driver is to some extent, I love the steps he has taken with his approach play and putting. He finished 165th and 157th respectively in the Cognizant categories, but is consistently climbing to 112th and 62nd.

Schmid’s tackling game last week was his best yet and the powerhouse therefore looks close to victory if he can avoid the big miss off the tee, one of which proved particularly costly during the second round in Dallas.

Do that, and with his irons (particularly good at longer distances) he can compete as he did for the Puerto Rico Open and in Bermuda late last year, with the result hopefully better this time.

Bridgeman home and ready to shine

Matthew NeSmith and Jimmy Stanger bring the best course form from these amateur events, but neither comes out right. That’s a shame in NeSmith’s case, because he’s good enough to win on the PGA Tour, almost did it on a Carolina-like course in Florida, and is indeed from South Carolina.

Maybe he’ll revive at home and triple-digit prices are certainly reasonable, but among the locals I’d rather side with a promising rookie JACOB BRIDGEMAN.

Bridgeman hails from the other side of South Carolina and, like Schmid, has turned heads with two finishes of T23 in the opposite events held so far this year.

Ranked 60th in hitting and 40th in putting, he’s doing enough well to believe he can establish himself at this level (as his amateur career suggested), although he’ll need results from 129th soon enough in the FedEx Cup. rankings.

He missed the cut last week, again like Schmid, but his approach was particularly good in the second round and this drop in the cut on home soil could make a big difference for another strong mid-iron player.

He played South Carolina twice on the Korn Ferry Tour, shooting six rounds under 70 and finishing fifth the first time. He also has top-10s from limited starts at both ends, in North Carolina and Georgia, and this very much seems to be his comfort zone.

Five top-30s in his last eight starts is very good form for the rankings and after being in contention in Florida at the similar-looking PGA National in March, he can shake off last week’s disappointment.

At the helm of the betting, Ben Griffin is from North Carolina and deserves respect, but he’s not exactly a player to be feared, while DANIE BERGER is a class act. He should be the clear favorite.

Berger let us down in Puerto Rico but now arrives having scored three straight outside the Zurich Classic pairs event, with his performance in the Byron Nelson particularly encouraging.

The former Ryder Cup star and top contender made one bogey in the first round and none since. He finished strong for 13th, gaining strokes in all departments without really lighting up the greens.

As you’d expect, he hit stacks of fairways and with solid form around Harbor Town to his name, this expected test of accuracy should prove absolutely ideal for a rare modern player who sacrifices distance to find fairways.

Berger is a Floridian who has always been at his best around these parts and I like that all four wins, including one on the coast, have come in mid-level scoring events. Something around 15 under could be good for this and Berger has as good a chance as anyone based on last week’s performance.

Looking at it more broadly, he deserves to be considered somehow the man to beat, with further encouragement taken from the fact that this place seems to have a lot in common with PGA National, where he has done everything except in recent years.

My only concern would be the possibility that Dunes turns out to be a bit long for him, but Berger was seeded in a US Open at Torrey Pines and I really don’t consider this a slugfest. Playing from the fairway, he can take the next big step to get his career back on track.

Davis Thompson has been in my betting plan twice in his last three starts and finishes of 18th and 23rd suggest he wasn’t far off, but his short game was poor last week and I would have eliminated Craig Ranch as potentially more suitable. , so he is left out, albeit with a degree of trepidation.

Having recently put up Patton Kizzire at triple-figure odds in a weaker event not far from here, only to see him shoot 80 and withdraw, it’s too much to bear, despite further signs of encouragement since then.

I would prefer DYLAN WUwho has a solid run of PGA Tour form under his belt and can produce a career best.

Wu is a steady player, the kind of player I generally prefer, and his irons are good right now, as he has gained strokes in each of his last five measured starts.

With the putter improving last week, enough for a 30th-place finish on a course where his past results indicate MC-MC, he appears to be hitting the boil in time for an important few months.

He’ll certainly prefer this kind of test to the wide-open Craig Ranch, where a powerhouse ultimately won, and his close form includes 13th in his only South Carolina start, plus 21st in North Carolina in last year’s classy Wells Fargo year. .

Wu’s last six points came courtesy of a top-20 finish at Sawgrass, which in itself might not be the worst indication for Dunes, and a price of more than 50/1 for a player who also finished 10th on PGA National.

Andrew Novak looks good on paper, but that’s largely down to a golden spell earlier this year, while Philip Knowles is another local with loads of experience and could be of some interest for a huge price.

Knowles suffered a freak injury early in his rookie season, severing a nerve in his hand when he cut it on a can, but is now back on a medical extension and last competed on the Korn Ferry Tour, which he called an enjoyable match. surprise.

He’s one to watch, along with Carson Young and Kelly Kraft, both excellent iron players, but my final vote goes to ADRIEN DUMONT DE CHASSART.

It was only nine months ago that the Belgian came to Europe with a place in the Ryder Cup to play for and left at around 33/1 for the European Masters, where Matt Fitzpatrick was favorite and Ludvig Aberg eventually won.

That alone indicates that his progress has stalled, but he has earned his way onto the PGA Tour by winning in his only start in South Carolina, and I wouldn’t be surprised at all if he doubles down upon his return.

Dumont de Chassart’s form has been patchy, but he finished sixth in Puerto Rico and 23rd in the Dominican Republic, two contrasting events I’ve already mentioned, so as the company has weakened he has shown what he can do.

He was 30th in Texas last week and hung around in the middle of the leaderboard all week, and in terms of headroom there are few who have the same potential, with the Coody twins and Thompson just about there.

It is true that the first two contrasts of 2024 have both gone to older players who had won at this level and above in the past, but on a course that is new to almost everyone, and with additional experience under their belts, we should expect more rookies in the league have to see. mix this time.

Bridgeman and Dumont de Chassart are my picks, but if Berger is around on Sunday he can do what Billy Horschel did and remind us how good he is.

Posted at 1030 BST on 07/05/24

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